Question

When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations occur?

Resolved:11 Sep 2021

4 comments4

Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction

24 Sep 2021

(12 Sep 2021 - 29 Sep 2021 09:09)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	12 Sep 2021	24 Sep 2021	29 Sep 2021 09:09
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	12 Sep 2021	—
median	24 Sep 2021	—
upper 75%	29 Sep 2021 09:09	—

What was the final result?11 Sep 2021

Community Baseline Score

-13.3

Community Peer Score

36.7

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Aug 3, 2021

Closes:

Aug 24, 2021

Resolves:

Oct 5, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 5, 2021

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

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43%

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?