Question
What is the %reduction in the secondary transmission of Delta from infected vaccinated individuals compared to infected unvaccinated individuals, according to the mean of the first 3 relevant studies?
Resolved:39.8Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction
51.1
(42.8 - 60.8)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 42.81 | — |
median | 51.1 | — |
upper 75% | 60.78 | — |
What was the final result?39.8
Community Baseline Score
25.9
Community Peer Score
8.6
Authors:
Opened:Aug 3, 2021
Closes:Oct 1, 2021
Resolves:Oct 3, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 3, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Aug 3, 2021
Closes:Oct 1, 2021
Resolves:Oct 3, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 3, 2021