Question

What is the %reduction in the secondary transmission of Delta from infected vaccinated individuals compared to infected unvaccinated individuals, according to the mean of the first 3 relevant studies?

Resolved:39.8
Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction
51.1
(42.8 - 60.8)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%42.81
median51.1
upper 75%60.78

What was the final result?39.8

Community Baseline Score
25.9
Community Peer Score
8.6
Opened:Aug 3, 2021
Closes:Oct 1, 2021
Resolves:Oct 3, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 3, 2021