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3 comments
17 forecasters

What will be the case-to-hospitalization rate in Virginia on 28 August?

community
3.67
result
1.93
Authors:
Metaculus-PartnersTomL
Opened:Aug 18, 2021
Closes:Aug 22, 2021
Resolved:Oct 14, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 19, 2021
Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
Virginia Lightning Round: Week 2
Health & Pandemics
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Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

44% chance
34

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV
3.49
Flu
9.81
COVID-19
3.85
1 other
17 forecasters

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV
04 Jan 2026
Flu
12 Jan 2026
COVID-19
03 Jan 2026
1 other
18 forecasters
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