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3 comments
16 forecasters

What will be the 7-day moving average of the percentage of people wearing masks in Virginia on 28 August?

community
59
result
63.58
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Metaculus-PartnersTomL
Opened:Aug 18, 2021
Closes:Aug 22, 2021
Resolved:Sep 15, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 19, 2021
Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
Virginia Lightning Round: Week 2
Health & Pandemics
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Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

44% chance
34

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
55 forecasters

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4% chance
32
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