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18 forecasters

What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 28 August?

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Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Metaculus-PartnersTomL
Opened:Aug 18, 2021
Closes:Aug 22, 2021
Resolved:Sep 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 19, 2021
Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
Virginia Lightning Round: Week 2
Health & Pandemics
🏆 2021 Leaderboard

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

44% chance
34

What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

705 cases
(441 - >1000)
705 cases
(441 - >1000)
35 forecasters

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

115k deaths/year
(87.1k - 205k)
115k deaths/year
(87.1k - 205k)
87 forecasters
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