8 comments
16 forecasters
How many papers at the 2023 NeurIPS conference will have authors with Amazon affiliation?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 3, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:Dec 10, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 5, 2021
Will a paper with an AI as an author be published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?
75% chance
148
How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?
6.02 labs
(4.71 - 8.1)
6.02 labs
(4.71 - 8.1)
65 forecasters
Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?
118 forecasters