Question
When will Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic?
Total Forecasters106
Community Prediction
May 2038
(15 Apr 2029 - Dec 2058)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 15 Apr 2029 | — |
median | May 2038 | — |
upper 75% | Dec 2058 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2122 | 3.7% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Aug 29, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2122
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2122
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 31, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Aug 29, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2122
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2122
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 31, 2022