Question
When will Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic?
Total Forecasters107
Community Prediction
Aug 2039
(04 Jan 2030 - Sep 2063)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 04 Jan 2030 | — |
| median | Aug 2039 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2063 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2122 | 8.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 29, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2122
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2122
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 31, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Aug 29, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2122
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2122
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 31, 2022