Question
When will Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic?
Total Forecasters107
Community Prediction
Jul 2039
(05 Oct 2029 - Nov 2063)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 05 Oct 2029 | — |
| median | Jul 2039 | — |
| upper 75% | Nov 2063 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2122 | 8.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 29, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2122
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2122
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 31, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Aug 29, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2122
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2122
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 31, 2022