Question
How will the World Happiness Report rank the United States in 2020-2022?
Resolved:15Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction
17.6
(15.9 - 19.3)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <10 | 1.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 15.88 | — |
| median | 17.63 | — |
| upper 75% | 19.31 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 | 0.5% | — |
What was the final result?15
Community Baseline Score
2.4
Community Peer Score
50.9
Authors:
Opened:Sep 1, 2021
Closes:Mar 1, 2023
Resolves:Mar 20, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 3, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?
7.18
Will the United States continue to be among the 20 countries with the largest deterioration in state stability over the 2019-2029 period, according to the Fragile States Index?
57.3%
What rank will the United States be on the inequality adjusted human development index in 2035?
31.8
Authors:
Opened:Sep 1, 2021
Closes:Mar 1, 2023
Resolves:Mar 20, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 3, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?
7.18
Will the United States continue to be among the 20 countries with the largest deterioration in state stability over the 2019-2029 period, according to the Fragile States Index?
57.3%
What rank will the United States be on the inequality adjusted human development index in 2035?
31.8