Question
By 2023, how many words of content will have been published on the Effective Altruism Wiki?
Resolved:176.524kTotal Forecasters17
Community Prediction
204k
(171k - 238k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 171.2k | — |
| median | 204.1k | — |
| upper 75% | 237.6k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >400k | 0.5% | — |
What was the final result?176.524k
Community Baseline Score
39.7
Community Peer Score
4.9
Authors:
Opened:Sep 5, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 7, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Sep 5, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 7, 2021