29 comments
70 forecasters
Will most of the first 100 IQ-selected "designer babies" be born in China?
32%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 16, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2300
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2300
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 18, 2022
Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
15% chance
78
Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
60% chance
52
Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
5% chance
62