9 comments
88 forecasters
Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads?
25%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 25% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolved:Feb 16, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2021