90 forecasters

Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks TomL

Opened:

Oct 7, 2021

Closes:

Dec 30, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 9, 2021

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