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14
90
forecasters
3
14 comments
90 forecasters
Nuclear Risk Tournament
4 more...
Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023?
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1 comment
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2.5%
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Current estimate
Feb 2046
5 comments
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Number of Nuclear Detonations by 2050
over 100
39%
over 1,000
9%