Question

Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024?

Resolved:No

8 comments8

Total Forecasters153

Community Prediction

0.1%

(0.1% - 0.6%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

6.7

Community Baseline Score

93.4

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks TomL

Opened:

Oct 7, 2021

Closes:

Dec 30, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 9, 2021

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