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Japan/China Clash by 2024

Flourishing Futures Nuclear Risk Tournament Szilard Fortified Essay Contest

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China and Japan were last at war during World War II.

Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024?

This question will resolve as Yes if, at any time between June 1, 2021 to January 1, 2024, forces serving the Japanese armed forces and the Chinese armed forces have a deadly conflict involving gunfire or explosives, according to credible media reports.

For this question, a gun is used if it is fired, and an explosive is used if it is detonated. Guns do not include weapons that are designed to be less than lethal such as tasers, rubber bullet guns, or bean bag guns. Similarly, explosives do not include weapons that are designed to be less than lethal such as flash bangs.

At least one death must result from the clash. The death need not be caused by the explosive or gunfire.

The military clash can take place in any place or location as long as it involves servicemen enlisted in the armed forces of both the Japan and China.

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