Question

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters100

Community Prediction

1.5%

(1% - 3%)

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50%

community: 1.5%

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Oct 8, 2021

Closes:

Jun 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 8, 2021

Elections

Shock Poll: 47% of Dems Demand a Third Party. So WHEN Will the Rebellion Begin?

PJ Media•Jun 21, 2025

Almost Half of Democrats Say a Third Party Is Necessary—Poll

Newsweek•Jun 20, 2025

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Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%

Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Oct 8, 2021

Closes:

Jun 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 8, 2021

Elections

Shock Poll: 47% of Dems Demand a Third Party. So WHEN Will the Rebellion Begin?

PJ Media•Jun 21, 2025

Almost Half of Democrats Say a Third Party Is Necessary—Poll

Newsweek•Jun 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%