Question
How many confirmed deaths from COVID-19 will be reported globally in 2022?
Resolved:1.22089MTotal Forecasters37
Community Prediction
2.35M
(1.73M - 3.26M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<1M | 4.5% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 1.729M | — |
median | 2.35M | — |
upper 75% | 3.261M | — |
Upper bound | ||
>15M | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?1.22089M
Community Peer Score
20.6
Community Baseline Score
-10.1
Authors:
Opened:Oct 20, 2021
Closes:Dec 28, 2021
Resolves:Jan 10, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 22, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
138k
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
111k
What will be the maximum global single-year death toll attributable to a single pandemic between 2022 to 2121?
38.2M
Authors:
Opened:Oct 20, 2021
Closes:Dec 28, 2021
Resolves:Jan 10, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 22, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
138k
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
111k
What will be the maximum global single-year death toll attributable to a single pandemic between 2022 to 2121?
38.2M