18 comments
72 forecasters
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?
10%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 31, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 2, 2021
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?
12.5% chance
94
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?
89% chance
125
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?
10% chance
73