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Authors:
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2021
Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?
12.5% chance
121
Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?
49% chance
87
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between India and Pakistan before 2027?
10% chance
46