Question
How many HEMP attacks will occur by 2030, if at least one does?
Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction
4.77 attacks
(1.89 attacks - 22.6 attacks)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 1.895 | — |
| median | 4.766 | — |
| upper 75% | 22.62 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1000 | 16.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2021