Question
By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?
Total Forecasters246
Community Prediction
59%
(40% - 75%)
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 19, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2060
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 20, 2022
When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?
01 Sep 2029
By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?
55%
Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
15%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 19, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2060
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 20, 2022
When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?
01 Sep 2029
By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?
55%
Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
15%