Question
How many Metaculus users will attend the unofficial Metaculus Meetup at the Taco Bell in Westfield, Indiana on the 1st of January 2025?
Resolved:2Total Forecasters43
Community Prediction
2.31
(<1 - 4.89)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<1 | 25.8% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | <1 | — |
median | 2.309 | — |
upper 75% | 4.891 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>100 | 0.6% | — |
What was the final result?2
Community Baseline Score
31.1
Community Peer Score
29.1
Authors:
Opened:Nov 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 7, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 9, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Nov 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 7, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 9, 2021