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21
49
forecasters
6
21 comments
49 forecasters
Nuclear Risk Tournament
4 more...
What will be the total size of Open Philanthropy's 2022 grants in the nuclear risk area?
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21 forecasters
Open Phil AI Grants 2030
Current estimate
165M $
0 comments
14 forecasters
Open Phil Bio Grants 2030
Current estimate
42.2M $
6 comments
21 forecasters
Open Phil Donations 2030
Current estimate
1.35B $
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11 forecasters
Open Phil Scientific Research Grants 2030
Current estimate
103M $
1 comment
15 forecasters
Open Phil Animal Welfare Grants 2030
Current estimate
80.9M $
1 comment
15 forecasters
Open Phil Criminal Justice Reform Grants 2030
Current estimate
<10M $
1 comment
37 forecasters
Total Nuclear Weapons >20,000 by 2030
2.5%
chance
2 comments
42 forecasters
>1,000 Nuke Detonations Cause 4B Deaths
56.8%
chance