Question
How many staff at EA orgs other than ALLFED will be primarily focused on nuclear risk in December 2022?
Resolved :AnnulledTotal Forecasters44
Community Prediction
10.4
(7.18 - 15)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 7.184 | — |
| median | 10.37 | — |
| upper 75% | 14.97 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?Annulled
Authors:
Opened:Nov 18, 2021
Closes:Nov 30, 2022
Resolves:May 2, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 2, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 18, 2021
Closes:Nov 30, 2022
Resolves:May 2, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 2, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch