12 forecasters

If >100 offensive nuclear detonations occur in a single conflict by 2030, how many hours will there be between the first and final detonation in the conflict?

Current estimate

87.1 hours

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Authors:

Opened:

Nov 18, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 20, 2021