62 forecasters

When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of global primary energy consumption?

Current estimate

Feb 2051

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Authors:

Opened:

Nov 19, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 21, 2021

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Why countries struggle to quit fossil fuels, despite higher costs and 30 years of climate talks and treaties

The Conversation•Oct 16, 2025

Australia’s household energy bills will halve by 2050, modelling suggests

Guardian•Oct 12, 2025

Australia’s March Toward 100 Percent Clean Energy

Wired•Oct 11, 2025

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