Question
When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of global primary energy consumption?
Total Forecasters62
Community Prediction
Apr 2052
(Aug 2042 - Sep 2068)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Aug 2042 | — |
| median | Apr 2052 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2068 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 9.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 19, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 21, 2021
When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of United States primary energy consumption?
Jun 2040
What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?
80.9
Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?
4%
Authors:
Opened:Nov 19, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 21, 2021
When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of United States primary energy consumption?
Jun 2040
What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?
80.9
Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?
4%