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Republican share of 2024 Hispanic/Latino vote

Question

In the 2020 election, 37 percent of Latinos who voted for Democrats or Republicans voted for the Republicans. This represented an increase from 29 percent in 2016 and 30 percent in 2012. In December 2021, a poll showed that Latinos had a lower approval rating of President Biden than Whites. Multiple commentators have discussed this shift of Latinos toward the Republican Party in 2020.

What percentage of Hispanic voters will vote Republican in 2024?

This question will resolve as the value R/(D+R) where D is the total number of votes Latinos cast for the Democatic candidate in the 2024 Presidential election and R is the number of votes Latinos cast for the Republican candidate, as reported by Catalist.

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