Question
When will Tigrayan forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters37
Community Prediction
>01 Jan 2024
(>01 Jan 2024 - >01 Jan 2024)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | >01 Jan 2024 | — |
| median | >01 Jan 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | >01 Jan 2024 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2024 | 93.0% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
56.6
Community Peer Score
8.0
Authors:
Opened:Dec 24, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Dec 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 26, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Dec 24, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Dec 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 26, 2021