Question

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters57

Community Prediction

41.6%

(29% - 50%)

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50%

community: 41.6%

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Jan 31, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2300

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 2, 2022

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Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

56%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%