42 forecasters

Will Niger experience a coup before 2023?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 26, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 28, 2022

🏆 2022 Leaderboard

Gen Z protesters toppled Madagascar’s president. Should other African leaders worry?

CNN•Oct 18, 2025

Madagascar coup leader sworn in as president after Andry Rajoelina impeached amid "Gen Z" protests

CBS•Oct 17, 2025

Madagascar’s military power grab shows Africa’s coup problem isn’t restricted to the Sahel region

The Conversation•Oct 16, 2025

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