Question
When will some country do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction
Jul 2047
(Jul 2037 - Sep 2062)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jul 2037 | — |
| median | Jul 2047 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2062 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2099 | 9.0% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 11, 2022
Closes:Dec 25, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 25, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 13, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Feb 11, 2022
Closes:Dec 25, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 25, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 13, 2022
