Question
How many Japanese Air Force responses to Chinese military threats there will be by 2024?
Resolved:1054Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction
1247
(1004 - 1494)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0 | 2.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1004 | — |
| median | 1247 | — |
| upper 75% | 1494 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2500 | 3.2% | — |
What was the final result?1054
Community Baseline Score
35.5
Community Peer Score
39.6
Authors:
Opened:Mar 8, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jun 4, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 13, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Mar 8, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jun 4, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 13, 2022
