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Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead

11
66 comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2
6 comments
6 forecasters

What will be the mean inflation adjusted annual wage of software developers in the United States in the following years using May 2023 dollars?

3 comments
61 forecasters

Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?

Alphabet34.6%
OpenAI21.2%
Anthropic18.2%
39 comments
62 forecasters

What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?

8 comments
13 forecasters

How many software developers will there be in the US in the following years?

7 comments
33 forecasters

Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?

2 or 345.2%
0 or 140.1%
4 or 511.5%
18 comments
118 forecasters

Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?

2%chance
19 comments
68 forecasters

Before 2026, will OpenAI's commercial operations cease to be governed by its nonprofit board of directors?

2.5%chance
11 comments
15 forecasters

When will Nvidia's market capitalization surpass $10 trillion?

Current estimate
Apr 2043
5 comments
10 forecasters

When will Claude 5 be released?

Current estimate
08 Sep 2026