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Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead
11
6
6
comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2
6
comments
6
forecasters
What will be the mean inflation adjusted annual wage of software developers in the United States in the following years using May 2023 dollars?
3
comments
61
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
34.6%
OpenAI
21.2%
Anthropic
18.2%
3 others
26%
39
comments
62
forecasters
What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?
8
comments
13
forecasters
How many software developers will there be in the US in the following years?
7
comments
33
forecasters
Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?
2 or 3
45.2%
0 or 1
40.1%
4 or 5
11.5%
3 others
3%
18
comments
118
forecasters
Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?
2%
chance
19
comments
68
forecasters
Before 2026, will OpenAI's commercial operations cease to be governed by its nonprofit board of directors?
2.5%
chance
11
comments
15
forecasters
When will Nvidia's market capitalization surpass $10 trillion?
Current estimate
Apr 2043
5
comments
10
forecasters
When will Claude 5 be released?
Current estimate
08 Sep 2026
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