Question

When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Total Forecasters1660
Community Prediction
20 Apr 2027
(16 Dec 2025 - 17 Jun 2030)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<Mar 20200.1%
Quartiles
lower 25%16 Dec 2025
median20 Apr 2027
upper 75%17 Jun 2030
Upper bound
>22001.6%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 18, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 20, 2020