9 comments
7 forecasters
When will a space-based data center first become operational?
Current estimate
Apr 2044
Key Factors
39 comments
64 forecasters
What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?
45 comments
170 forecasters
When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?
Current estimate
11 May 2029
Key Factors
4 comments
3 forecasters
How much will using AI add to (or subtract from) the time it takes developers to do a task, in METR's second impact study?
Current estimate
2.28%
16 comments
24 forecasters
What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?
Current estimate
49.2%
Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
0 comments
15 forecasters
What will be the best performance on SWE-bench Verified by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
82 score
6 comments
4 forecasters
Will China publicly sell domestic AI accelerators to Russia by 2030?
74%chance
7 comments
6 forecasters