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Artificial Intelligence
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629
comments
1.8k
forecasters
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Current estimate
Aug 2033
15
comments
16
forecasters
When will a sitting US President make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion?
00
0
comments
31
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH
29%
Google Cloud
14.2%
Microsoft Azure
14%
1 other
2
comments
51
forecasters
Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
99.9%
chance
2
comments
39
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH
25%
Amazon Web Services
5%
Microsoft Azure
5%
1 other
9
comments
60
forecasters
Will OpenAI Inc. change its mission statement before the following years?
39
comments
63
forecasters
What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?
8
comments
13
forecasters
How many software developers will there be in the US in the following years?
77
comments
101
forecasters
When will AI first be revealed to be superhuman at the board game Diplomacy?
Current estimate
01 Jun 2027
12
comments
92
forecasters
When will most Americans personally know someone who has dated an AI?
Current estimate
Feb 2033
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