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0 comments
34 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH30%
Google Cloud16%
Amazon Web Services15%
39 comments
64 forecasters

What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?

2 comments
41 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH25%
Amazon Web Services5%
Microsoft Azure5%
45 comments
170 forecasters

When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?

Current estimate
16 Mar 2029
2 comments
37 forecasters

Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?

AMD5%
Nvidia5%
Google5%
1 comment
11 forecasters

Will the 2026 ICPC World Finals be held in China?

33%chance
17% this week
632 comments
1.8k forecasters

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Current estimate
Jul 2033

Key Factors

7 comments
6 forecasters

What will be the mean inflation adjusted annual wage of software developers in the United States in the following years using May 2023 dollars?

2 comments
49 forecasters

Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

99.9%chance
9 comments
44 forecasters

If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025?

2%chance