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8 comments
28 forecasters

BTC Realized Volatility 2025-2027

Current estimate
2.41%
76 comments
85 forecasters

FTX/Alameda leadership felony convictions

Sam Bankman-Friedresult: Yes
Caroline Ellisonresult: Yes
Gary Wangresult: Yes
Nishad Singhresult: Yes
Sam Trabuccoresult: No
92 comments
104 forecasters

SBF Prison Sentence Length

community
301 months
result
300 months
29 comments
48 forecasters

SBF Prison Sentence Length 2030

Current estimate
301 months
2 comments
20 forecasters

Will BTC hit $120k by Aug 2026?

2%chance
49 comments
75 forecasters

SBF on US soil before February 1, 2023?

resultYes
14 comments
45 forecasters

FTX Foundation disbursements 2023

community
<300k
result
Less than 300k
31 comments
47 forecasters

FTX Foundation freeze/seizure/clawback demand

40 comments
24 forecasters

FTX depositor to retrieve funds before 2023

Ambiguous
19 comments
70 forecasters

$1M lost in prediction market

Ambiguous
11 comments
64 forecasters

Bitcoin ATH before Oct 6, 2026?

5%chance
23 comments
114 forecasters

Coinbase files for bankruptcy before 2024

resultNo
9 comments
732 forecasters

BTC price at the end of 2026?

Current estimate
78.9k $

Key Factors

  • 'Digital Gold Narrative'
  • BTC Protocol Integrity
  • Halvening Pop Expectations
27 comments
115 forecasters

Coinbase Files for Bankruptcy in 2022

resultNo
13 comments
42 forecasters

Quantum Random Number Cryptocurrency

73%chance
19 comments
68 forecasters

Date BTC trades less than $6481?

Current estimate
>31 Dec 2030
5 comments
10 forecasters

Avraham Eisenberg Prison Sentence Length 2030

Current estimate
63.9 months
37 comments
161 forecasters

Sam Bankman-Fried to donate $1bn before 2031

0.1%chance
13 comments
112 forecasters

Satoshi's Bitcoins Spent by 2075

20%chance
18 comments
72 forecasters

Coinbase Default by End of 2022

Ambiguous
12 comments
52 forecasters

Bitcoin maximum price in 2025

community
126k $
result
126.19807k $
1 comment
63 forecasters

Will Trump say "crypto" or "bitcoin" in his SOTU address on February 24, 2026?

resultNo
20 comments
594 forecasters

BTC hash rate on Mar 12, 2026?

community
992M TH/s
result
1.022226049B TH/s
18 comments
42 forecasters

Calculating RSA public keys

Current estimate
Jun 2044