• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🗽
State of the Union
⏳
AI 2027
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

If Tether (USDT) breaks its peg with the U.S. dollar by June 1, 2025, when would this happen?

Ambiguous

Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection before 2024?

resultNo

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?

299
months

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Sam Bankman-Friedresult: Yes
Caroline Ellisonresult: Yes
Gary Wangresult: Yes
and 2 others

Will Revolut obtain a UK banking license before the end of 2024?

resultNo

Bitcoin Extremes: Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before 2025?

resultYes

When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?

Feb 2040

When will 1 bitcoin be worth $1,000,000 (2020 USD) or more?

Mar 2044

Will any prediction market cause users to lose at least $1M before 2023?

Ambiguous

What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025?

result56.8