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1
comment
3
forecasters
When will the UK Interest Rate be 2% or lower?
Current estimate
02 Sep 2027
48
comments
133
forecasters
Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?
28%
chance
11%
this week
Key Factors
US pledge to bail out Argentina already made
Show of support from Trump is possible
Milei's election victory stabilises peso speculation
0
comments
11
forecasters
Will NVIDIA's stock price close above $220 or below $180 on any single day before November 22, 2025?
50%
chance
15.5%
this week
condition
US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?
5
forecasters
if yes
if no
US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?
55%
55%
US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?
22%
22%
1
0
comments
5
5
forecasters
3
comments
45
forecasters
Will the United States reopen cattle imports from Mexico before 2026?
19%
chance
9%
this week
Key Factors
Trump pushing for border reopening to increase supply
2
comments
6
forecasters
When will these CEOs no longer be CEO?
00
15
comments
86
forecasters
What will be the upper bound of the federal funds rate announced at the December 2025 FOMC meeting?
4.00%
51.5%
3.75% or lower
48.3%
4.25%
0.1%
1 other
0%
Key Factors
Inflation trajectory
Financial stability and credit conditions
Labor-market conditions
25
comments
9
forecasters
What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months?
0
comments
12
forecasters
Will Jerome Powell cease to be Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before his term is up?
10%
chance
5
comments
28
forecasters
Will Elon Musk have quadruple the wealth of the second richest person on any day before 2030?
5%
chance
15%
this week
Key Factors
SpaceX and XAI as wealth catalysts
Larry Ellison's growing wealth by 2028
spacex needs 100 million or more high bandwidth internet subscribers
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