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99
comments
295
forecasters
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
44%
chance
5%
this week
2
comments
46
forecasters
Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?
94%
chance
30
comments
158
forecasters
Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?
95%
chance
1
comment
2
forecasters
When will ≥ 10 operational Golden Dome orbital interceptor satellites be simultaneously in orbit?
Current estimate
Dec 2033
2
comments
21
forecasters
Will Zelenskyy Swap Territory/Cede Land to End the War?
20%
chance
2
comments
64
forecasters
Will Donald Trump's 100% tariff on China take effect on November 1, 2025?
5.4%
chance
32
comments
113
forecasters
If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?
48%
chance
3
comments
48
forecasters
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?
29%
chance
4.2%
this week
3
comments
17
forecasters
Will Nayib Bukele Rule El Salvador for Life?
7%
chance
11%
this week
30
comments
123
forecasters
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2029?
5%
chance
3%
this week
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