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12
comments
55
forecasters
Will a suspected shooter in the assassination of political activist Charlie Kirk be neutralized before September 19, 2025?
result
Yes
0
comments
6
forecasters
Will the Department of Justice file criminal charges against one or more journalists under the Espionage Act in the following years?
2
comments
6
forecasters
Will New York Times v. Sullivan no longer be good law in the following years?
15
comments
86
forecasters
Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025?
Revealed
in 9 hours
0
comments
5
forecasters
In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?
62
comments
1.2k
forecasters
Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal in the United States in 2025?
66%
chance
5
comments
38
forecasters
Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?
35%
chance
25%
this week
8
comments
40
forecasters
Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026?
European Union
result:
Yes
United Kingdom
20%
United States
5%
18
comments
54
forecasters
Will former president Jair Bolsonaro be extradited back to Brazil before leaving the US?
result
No
35
comments
37
forecasters
Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?
Jack Smith (special counsel)
result:
No
Barack Obama
result:
No
Fani Willis (Fulton Co. DA)
result:
No
8 others
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