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12 comments
55 forecasters

Will a suspected shooter in the assassination of political activist Charlie Kirk be neutralized before September 19, 2025?

resultYes
0 comments
6 forecasters

Will the Department of Justice file criminal charges against one or more journalists under the Espionage Act in the following years?

2 comments
6 forecasters

Will New York Times v. Sullivan no longer be good law in the following years?

15 comments
86 forecasters

Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025?

Revealed in 9 hours
0 comments
5 forecasters

In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?

62 comments
1.2k forecasters

Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal in the United States in 2025?

66%chance
5 comments
38 forecasters

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

35%chance
25% this week
8 comments
40 forecasters

Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026?

European Unionresult: Yes
United Kingdom20%
United States5%
18 comments
54 forecasters

Will former president Jair Bolsonaro be extradited back to Brazil before leaving the US?

resultNo
35 comments
37 forecasters

Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?

Jack Smith (special counsel)result: No
Barack Obamaresult: No
Fani Willis (Fulton Co. DA)result: No