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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

15
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0 comments
6 forecasters

Will the U.S. government seek to revoke a naturalized citizen's citizenship for post-naturalization conduct in the following years?

0 comments
5 forecasters

In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?

0 comments
5 forecasters

Will the U.S. Senate pass a reconciliation bill with no CBO input on Byrd Rule compliance in the following years?

0 comments
4 forecasters

Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?

0 comments
6 forecasters

Will U.S. authorities transfer any current or former U.S. citizen to a prison abroad in the following years?

3 comments
9 forecasters

Will Pam Bondi be out as US Attorney General before March 2026?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
2 comments
43 forecasters

Who will win the UK Labour Party's Deputy Leadership election in 2025?

Bridget PhillipsonUpcoming
Lucy PowellUpcoming
Someone elseUpcoming
1 comment
1 forecaster

When will the next German federal elections happen?

2025Upcoming
2026Upcoming
2027Upcoming
1 comment

How many executive orders will Trump sign during his second term as President?

Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days