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Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?

55.5% this week

Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025?

Key Factor

Potential retaliation if Khamenei is harmed

Key Factor

Potential retaliation if Khamenei is harmed

Will Rachel Reeves remain UK Chancellor of the Exchequer until December, 2025?

Forecast revealed

Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?

Key Factor

ease of filing FEC Form 1

Key Factor

ease of filing FEC Form 1

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030?

Key Factor

China Needs to keep Iran as a Proxy

Key Factor

China Needs to keep Iran as a Proxy

How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates?

Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?

[Short fuse] Will an image of Donald Trump appear on the front page of the New York Times on July 4, 2025?

Key Factor

Increased odds of Trump's media prominence.

Key Factor

Increased odds of Trump's media prominence.

[Short fuse] Will the Government lose its majority in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election?

Will there be Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria within one year from October 28, 2024?