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3 comments
19 forecasters

When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?

Current estimate
22 Nov 2025
12 comments
49 forecasters

Will Jared Isaacman be re-nominated as NASA Administrator before 2026?

62%chance
17 comments
145 forecasters

Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?

8.5%chance
2.5% this week
1 comment
8 forecasters

Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?

15%chance
26% this week
0 comments
5 forecasters

Will Sean Duffy be Acting Administrator of NASA continuously through December 31, 2025?

48%chance
2 comments
45 forecasters

How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025?

Current estimate
1.48 provinces
4 comments
62 forecasters

When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in?

Current estimate
13 Nov 2025
51 comments
1.3k forecasters

Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?

5%chance
0 comments
12 forecasters

In the following years, will the DOJ decline to act on a criminal contempt referral of a current or former executive official who served under the sitting president?

1 comment
57 forecasters

Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026?

Australia66.7%
Turkey19.3%
Germany9.9%