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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
15
0
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0
comments
6
forecasters
Will the U.S. government seek to revoke a naturalized citizen's citizenship for post-naturalization conduct in the following years?
0
comments
5
forecasters
In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?
0
comments
5
forecasters
Will the U.S. Senate pass a reconciliation bill with no CBO input on Byrd Rule compliance in the following years?
0
comments
4
forecasters
Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?
0
comments
6
forecasters
Will U.S. authorities transfer any current or former U.S. citizen to a prison abroad in the following years?
3
comments
9
forecasters
Will Pam Bondi be out as US Attorney General before March 2026?
Current estimate
Revealed
tomorrow
2
comments
43
forecasters
Who will win the UK Labour Party's Deputy Leadership election in 2025?
Bridget Phillipson
Upcoming
Lucy Powell
Upcoming
Someone else
Upcoming
1
comment
1
forecaster
When will the next German federal elections happen?
2025
Upcoming
2026
Upcoming
2027
Upcoming
2 others
100%
1
comment
How many executive orders will Trump sign during his second term as President?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 4 days
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