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Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?

55.5% this week

Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025?

Forecast revealed

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

What percentage of businesses surveyed in 2029 will cite regulatory uncertainty as a relevant risk of AI?

Forecast revealed

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

How many of the following countries will enact a comprehensive national-level AI law before 2030?

Forecast revealed

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

How many of the following countries will enact a national-level law that restricts the deployment of high-risk AI systems before 2030?

Forecast revealed

Will Rachel Reeves remain UK Chancellor of the Exchequer until December, 2025?

Forecast revealed

Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025?

Key Factor

Potential retaliation if Khamenei is harmed

Key Factor

Potential retaliation if Khamenei is harmed

Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?

Key Factor

ease of filing FEC Form 1

Key Factor

ease of filing FEC Form 1

[Short fuse] Will Donald Trump publicly criticize Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett before July 15, 2025?

17.9% this week

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030?

Key Factor

China Needs to keep Iran as a Proxy

Key Factor

China Needs to keep Iran as a Proxy