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Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025?
Any of Trumpโs Other Nominees (See Fine Print)
5%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)
1%
Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)
No
82
106 comments
106
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest
Will Franรงois Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?
1%
19 percentage points this week
705 forecasters
6
28 comments
28
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest
Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?
10%
41 percentage points this week
733 forecasters
14
27 comments
27
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest
How many parties will be in the next German parliament?
5 or fewer
?
6
?
7
?
2 others
Revealed
in 4 days
17
40 comments
40
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest
Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?
Mark Carney
98.9%
Chrystia Freeland
1%
Someone else
0.1%
4