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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
13
0
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
1
comment
40
forecasters
Will Nepal swear in a new prime minister before September 20, 2025?
result
Yes
4
comments
9
forecasters
Will the White House direct federal agencies to target three or more high-profile presidential critics in the following years?
42
comments
143
forecasters
Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?
Together for the Republic
78.6%
Other
8.2%
No Prime Minister
3.9%
6 others
9%
2
comments
Who will win the UK Labour Party's Deputy Leadership election in 2025?
Bridget Phillipson
Upcoming
Lucy Powell
Upcoming
Someone else
Upcoming
2
comments
10
forecasters
Will U.S. Congress pass new limits on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in the following years?
1
comment
49
forecasters
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election?
PVV
51.5%
Gl/PvdA
21.9%
CDA
19.1%
5 others
7%
1
comment
8
forecasters
Will the U.S. federal government open formal investigations of at least 5 top-50 universities in the following years?
1
comment
8
forecasters
Will two or more U.S. state or federal judges or legislators be victims of murder or attempted murder by non-state actors in the following years?
0
comments
34
forecasters
Who will be the next non-caretaker prime minister of Nepal?
Kulman Ghising
Upcoming
Sushila Karki
Upcoming
Balendra Shah
Upcoming
2 others
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