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1 comment
20 forecasters

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?

0 comments
18 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. presidentโ€™s net worth reach โ‰ฅ4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

1 comment
9 forecasters

Will the Trump administration release the Epstein Files before January 20, 2029?

30%chance
0 comments
4 forecasters

Before January 1, 2026, will the Labour Party poll 4th place or worse in the UK, according to Politico's average?

40%chance
39.9% this week
0 comments
10 forecasters

Will Jerome Powell cease to be Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before his term is up?

9%chance
5 comments
14 forecasters

If Viktor Orbรกn leads a party in the 2026 Hungarian Election, will he become Prime Minister?

50%chance
30% this week
1 comment
31 forecasters

Will the United States invade Venezuela before January 20, 2029?

41%chance
13% this week
4 comments
2 forecasters

How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (2029)

Labour Party128
Conservative Party43.8
Liberal Democrats57.5
7 comments
3 forecasters

How many UK councils will issue section 114 notices between the July 2024 and next General Elections?

Current estimate
2.44 Councils
0 comments
41 forecasters

Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026?

0.6%chance