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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

13
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
1 comment
40 forecasters

Will Nepal swear in a new prime minister before September 20, 2025?

resultYes
4 comments
9 forecasters

Will the White House direct federal agencies to target three or more high-profile presidential critics in the following years?

42 comments
143 forecasters

Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?

Together for the Republic78.6%
Other8.2%
No Prime Minister3.9%
2 comments

Who will win the UK Labour Party's Deputy Leadership election in 2025?

Bridget PhillipsonUpcoming
Lucy PowellUpcoming
Someone elseUpcoming
2 comments
10 forecasters

Will U.S. Congress pass new limits on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in the following years?

1 comment
49 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election?

PVV51.5%
Gl/PvdA21.9%
CDA19.1%
1 comment
8 forecasters

Will the U.S. federal government open formal investigations of at least 5 top-50 universities in the following years?

1 comment
8 forecasters

Will two or more U.S. state or federal judges or legislators be victims of murder or attempted murder by non-state actors in the following years?

0 comments
34 forecasters

Who will be the next non-caretaker prime minister of Nepal?

Kulman GhisingUpcoming
Sushila KarkiUpcoming
Balendra ShahUpcoming