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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
2 comments
8 forecasters

Will Sean Duffy be Acting Administrator of NASA continuously through December 31, 2025?

15%chance
33% this week
1 comment
6 forecasters

Will the Asteroid 2024 YR4 Hit the Earth or the Moon before 2033?

3%chance
9 comments
67 forecasters

Will Blue Origin's "Never Tell Me The Odds" launch before 2026 and successfully land?

34%chance

Key Factors

34 comments
131 forecasters

Will China land the next person on the Moon?

51%chance
11% this week

Key Factors

8 comments
22 forecasters

Will SpaceX successfully land the following on Mars before 2035?

An uncrewed craft85%
At least one person40%
At least one personβ€”and return them to Earth35%
2 comments
3 forecasters

When will β‰₯ 10 operational Golden Dome orbital interceptor satellites be simultaneously in orbit?

Current estimate
Feb 2034

Key Factors

82 comments
626 forecasters

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

40%chance
17 comments
37 forecasters

When will the following space agencies launch a crewed mission?

00
5 comments
8 forecasters

How much total space based solar PV (in GW) will be installed by the following years?

6 comments
10 forecasters

When will a satellite be equipped with a nuclear weapon?

Current estimate
Mar 2062