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How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?

Key Factor

Success probability

246.4%
342.2%
47.3%
and 3 others

Key Factor

Success probability

What will be the number of operational satellites in each year?

Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025?

65%chance
20% this week

Will the second Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff before January 1, 2024?

resultYes

Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025?

resultYes

When will the third Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff?

result14 Mar 2024 08:25

Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?

resultNo

Will Starship achieve liftoff before Monday, May 1st, 2023?

resultYes

Will SpaceX receive a launch license for Starship from the FAA before April 15th, 2023?

resultYes

Will the first extraterrestrial life-forms we encounter be carbon-based?

83%chance