• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
45 comments
295 forecasters

Will Elon Musk (eventually) lose his appeal?

resultNo
4 comments
81 forecasters

Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?

6%chance
19% this week
6 comments
46 forecasters

How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?

351.7%
236.9%
410.1%
2 comments
43 forecasters

Will the number of UFO sightings reported by the National UFO Reporting Center exceed 350 for September 2025?

65%chance
5% this week
18 comments
204 forecasters

Will we find life on Mars by 2050?

10%chance
23 comments
157 forecasters

Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?

resultNo
19 comments
135 forecasters

Will Parker Solar Probe survive its 24 loops around the sun while getting just a few million miles away from the surface of our star?

resultYes
89 comments
1.6k forecasters

Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?

22%chance
35 comments
288 forecasters

Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?

28%chance
3 comments
83 forecasters

Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025?

resultYes