• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
8 comments
19 forecasters

Will SpaceX successfully land the following on Mars before 2035?

An uncrewed craft80%
At least one person40%
At least one person—and return them to Earth20%
1 comment
2 forecasters

When will ≥ 10 operational Golden Dome orbital interceptor satellites be simultaneously in orbit?

Current estimate
Dec 2033
5 comments
111 forecasters

Will Blue Origin's "Never Tell Me The Odds" launch before 2026 and successfully land?

35%chance
52 comments
243 forecasters

How many people will have ever landed on the Moon before 2030?

Current estimate
16.5 people
1 comment
23 forecasters

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

1%chance
1% this week
6 comments
8 forecasters

When will a satellite be equipped with a nuclear weapon?

Current estimate
Jan 2061
2 comments
95 forecasters

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%chance
0 comments
48 forecasters

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

1%chance
45 comments
379 forecasters

When will the first humans land successfully on Mars?

Current estimate
Jan 2044
81 comments
624 forecasters

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

40%chance