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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will there turn out to be widespread fossils of algae and lichens on Mars?

resultNo

Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?

Key Factor

Trump doesn't like EVs, could target Tesla

1%chance

Key Factor

Trump doesn't like EVs, could target Tesla

When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?

00

When will there be a round trip crewed mission to Jupiter's orbit?

2076

Will Parker Solar Probe survive its 24 loops around the sun while getting just a few million miles away from the surface of our star?

90%chance

Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land a spacecraft on the Moon, if they do so before 2026?

resultNo

How many interstellar objects will be identified by the Vera Rubin Observatory is its first two years of observations?

2.69
objects

Spacecraft Launchers and the Launcher Market

12
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

What will be the proportion of orbital launches in 2030 for the following launcher categories?

Private Citizen Space Travel: Participation, Place, and Price

8
no comments0
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰