Question Feed | Metaculus

3 comments

52 forecasters

Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?

resultNo

6 comments

80 forecasters

AI automation in US presidential race

resultYes

13 comments

53 forecasters

AI automation in primary races

resultYes

8 comments

96 forecasters

Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?

resultNo

7 comments

87 forecasters

Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?

resultNo

27 comments

282 forecasters

Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight at the end of this year?

Ambiguous

18 comments

90 forecasters

In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?

resultNo

4 comments

56 forecasters

Google chatbot in 2016

resultNo

10 comments

78 forecasters

SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?

resultYes

16 comments

70 forecasters

Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?

resultYes

3 comments

35 forecasters

More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?

resultNo

4 comments

33 forecasters

Is market volatility set to strongly increase?

resultNo

5 comments

152 forecasters

Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?

resultNo

17 comments

37 forecasters

Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?

resultYes

42 comments

402 forecasters

Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?

resultYes

3 comments

43 forecasters

Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?

resultNo

3 comments

50 forecasters

Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?

resultNo

4 comments

26 forecasters

More "Live(s) you can save" in 2016?

resultNo

4 comments

23 forecasters

A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?

resultNo

3 comments

33 forecasters

Will the "Project Blue" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?

resultNo

3 comments

31 forecasters

Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?

resultNo

3 comments

44 forecasters

How important are "time crystals"?

resultNo

4 comments

13 forecasters

Is Arnold alive?

resultNo

2 comments

28 forecasters

Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?

resultNo