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3 comments
33 forecasters

What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2030-01-01?

Latest estimate
47.1

This question is closed for forecasting.

3 comments
23 forecasters

Assuming that the Green Party joins the federal government following the German federal elections on September 26th, 2021, what will be German per capita CO2 emissions in 2025?

Latest estimate
8.16

This question is closed for forecasting.

6 comments
18 forecasters

How much higher will peer-reviewed U.S. methane emission measurements be compared to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s reported measurements in any 12 month period between 2021-2025?

Latest estimate
1.46

This question is closed for forecasting.

9 comments
14 forecasters

Will mean log-odds outperform median log-odds for the next 1000 questions?

66%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

12 comments
13 forecasters

Will mean log-odds outperform mean probability for the next 100 questions?

64%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

2 comments
14 forecasters

Will mean log-odds outperform mean probability for the next 1000 questions?

78%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

2 comments
14 forecasters

When will the UK have sequenced 10M people in a research biobank?

Latest estimate
Sep 2033

This question is closed for forecasting.

6 comments
34 forecasters

What will the total fertility rate be in USA for the year 2025?

Latest estimate
1.62

This question is closed for forecasting.

22 comments
24 forecasters

What will be the vaccine efficacy of the two-dose Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S vaccine candidate according to the results of Phase III testing?

Latest estimate
89.8

This question is closed for forecasting.

12 comments
43 forecasters

What will USA's GDP/c growth rate be in 2020-2029?

Latest estimate
1.89

This question is closed for forecasting.