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Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?

90%chance
40% this week

Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025?

35%chance
5% today

Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?

45%chance
22% this week

Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025?

resultYes

Will Iran carry out an attack killing at least 3 people within Israel before August 2025?

Key Factor

Israel attacked Iran's capital

resultYes

Key Factor

Israel attacked Iran's capital

What will be the lowest number of oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz between June 15, 2025 and September 1, 2025?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Will Israel carry out attacks within Iran resulting in at least 50 deaths before August 2025?

resultYes

[Short fuse] Will an image of Donald Trump appear on the front page of the New York Times on July 4, 2025?

Forecast revealed in 13 hours

Will the United States or Israel attack the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant before January 1, 2026?

resultYes

[Short fuse] Will 4 million or more people participate in 'No Kings' rallies in the United States on June 14, 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

90%chance