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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will there be an FDA-approved cure for Type 1 diabetes before January 1, 2032?

50%chance
10% this week

Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of Semaglutide for the treatment of obesity by 2027?

2%chance

Will oral semaglutide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2027?

80%chance

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

63%chance

Will the combination of semaglutide and cagrilintide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2027?

43%chance

Will tirzepatide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA before 2025?

resultYes

The Promise and Impact of the Next Generation of Weight Loss Drugs

19
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024?

resultNo

Will semaglutide be a top 300 medicine in America before 2032?

resultYes

Will bimagrumab be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

31%chance